The world is moving towards an unprecedented water crisis that experts describe as irreversible “water bankruptcy”, according to a stark warning from United Nations researchers. Decades of excessive water extraction, pollution, and climate-driven disruptions have pushed global water systems beyond recovery in many regions, placing billions of people, food systems, and economies under severe stress.
The warning comes from a new report by the United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment and Health, which highlights how shrinking freshwater supplies from rivers, lakes, glaciers, wetlands, and underground aquifers are failing to meet rising global demand.
According to the report, nearly three-quarters of the global population live in countries categorised as either “water insecure” or “critically water insecure”. This underscores how water stress is no longer a regional or seasonal issue but a systemic global challenge.
The report further states that 4 billion people face severe water scarcity at least one month per year, reflecting the growing mismatch between water demand and available supply across continents.
“Many regions are living beyond their hydrological means, and many critical water systems are already bankrupt,” said Kaveh Madani, lead author and director of the institute.
The term “water bankruptcy” refers to a situation where societies continuously withdraw more water than natural systems can replenish. Like financial bankruptcy, it signals a collapse caused by long-term mismanagement rather than sudden shocks.
“By acknowledging the reality of water bankruptcy, we can finally make the hard choices that will protect people, economies and ecosystems,” he said.
The report warns that water supplies are “already in a post-crisis state of failure” due to decades of unsustainable extraction. Groundwater aquifers, glaciers, wetlands, soils, and river ecosystems—often considered natural “water savings”—have been depleted at alarming rates.
In addition to overuse, pollution from agriculture, industry, and urban waste has severely degraded water quality, further reducing usable freshwater supplies.
More than 170 million hectares of irrigated cropland – an area larger than Iran – are under “high” or “very high” water stress, the report said. This poses serious risks to global food security, particularly as climate change intensifies droughts and heatwaves.
Economic losses linked to land degradation, groundwater depletion, and climate change already exceed $300 billion per year worldwide, highlighting the financial toll of water mismanagement.
The report reveals that three billion people and more than half of global food production are located in regions experiencing unstable or declining water storage levels.
Salinisation—caused by excessive irrigation and poor drainage—has already damaged more than 100 million hectares of cropland, reducing productivity and long-term soil health.
Researchers argue that existing water governance models are outdated and ineffective. The priority, they say, should not be “returning to normal” but creating a new “global water agenda” aimed at minimising damage rather than chasing unrealistic recovery goals.
This proposed agenda would focus on resilience, demand reduction, ecosystem restoration, and equitable water distribution rather than expanding supply through unsustainable extraction.
However, some experts believe the report overlooks a key factor. Jonathan Paul, a geoscience professor at Royal Holloway, University of London, said the analysis does not adequately address population growth.
“The elephant in the room, which is mentioned explicitly only once, is the role of massive and uneven population growth in driving so many of the manifestations of water bankruptcy,” he said.
Rapid population expansion, particularly in water-stressed regions, continues to intensify pressure on already fragile water systems.
The UN report serves as a powerful warning that the global water crisis has moved beyond a tipping point in many regions. With billions of lives, global food systems, and economic stability at stake, experts stress that incremental fixes are no longer sufficient. A fundamental rethink of how water is valued, managed, and conserved is urgently needed. Recognising water bankruptcy is not about pessimism—it is about confronting reality to prevent deeper humanitarian, environmental, and economic collapse in the decades ahead.